WILL WAR BREAK OUT IN HOURS, DAYS OR A WEEK AT MOST?
Nehme Hamie
Aug, 05/2024
Paris / In a few hours or days at most, which is unlikely, the region will ignite from Asia, that is, from Iran to the Middle East and the region to Palestine and to the northern front occupied by Zionism. We do not know the extent of Iraq and the Houthis’ intervention in this war, nor the extent of their internal problems. As for the Syrian arena, it seems that it has become outside the battlefields, and Russian President Putin played a major role in removing Syria from the axis of resistance. Putin played this role with President Assad a long time ago, and this appeared at the Arab Summit in Bahrain, where Syrian President Bashar al-Assad did not speak. Then, two weeks later, Saudi Arabia sent its ambassador to Damascus, and Italy took the initiative to open its embassy in the Syrian capital, and called on 8 European countries to review the file of relations with Syria. From a military standpoint, there are points for the Russian army, which Russian President Putin ordered to deploy in the Golan so that the Golan front would not be opened militarily. Noting that the situation in Syria is stable, thousands of Shiite villages in the Hermel and Baalbek regions, and even others, have been displaced towards Syria. These are civilian families. As for the young men and women, they have remained in Hermel, Baalbek, Nabi Sheet, Brital and in their Shiite majority villages. In fact, the civilian section of the families was only sent to Syria, while the fighters and men remained in this region, from Hermel to Baalbek and a few kilometers before Zahle.
The United States has mobilized the largest naval force, as the number of modern American warships and destroyers has reached 22 ships accompanied by two aircraft carriers, one in the Arabian Sea and the other off the coast of Palestine. The American Pentagon, i.e. the American Department of Defense, also announced that it has sent many squadrons of modern F-35 and F-15 aircraft that the American army has updated, until they have become very advanced, and can travel and conduct combat operations up to 5,000 kilometers, and the F-15 aircraft have become more effective in bombing and dropping heavy bombs than the F-35, but the F-35 is superior to it in that it is a stealth aircraft that cannot be detected by radar. The Israeli enemy army also has 200 F-15 aircraft in excellent condition, accompanying aircraft carrying out bombing operations and other things, and their mission is to engage any target approaching these aircraft in the air, as well as protecting tanker aircraft from fuel because aircraft carrying out bombing at long ranges need to be refueled several times with fuel and aviation gasoline, which is provided by these aircraft, of which “Israel” has 3, but the United States has placed 6 other aircraft at its disposal to refuel aircraft gasoline in the air. The US Secretary of State contacted the Israeli Minister of War, Galant, and informed him of all measures, and that the United States will defend “Israel” to the utmost extent, but does this mean that the US warplanes will bomb Iran or Hezbollah sites in Lebanon? Because the urgent request of the US embassy during the past hours was more than panic and fear, so the US embassy published a message to those who hold US citizenship, to find any travel ticket to any country and leave Lebanon for fear of reactions to the US standing against Hezbollah and bombing its centers or against Iran and bombing its centers. The US embassy announced that whoever does not have money to travel, it is ready to give him the money, and as soon as he arrives in the country, whether to Greece, Italy, Europe or anywhere, he can contact the US embassy, and it will secure all the money for him, even though he received large sums of money from the US embassy in Beirut. However, the US embassies received instructions to give the Americans the necessary money, and they choose the country in which they will stay, but the US State Department wants them to travel to the United States.
Tehran and the preparation for war
The Iranian parliament met in the presence of the Revolutionary Guards and an intelligence team. The statement issued by it was that Israel must inflict heavy losses, and even attempt to destroy its infrastructure, and that it has violated Iran’s sovereignty, and that the capital of the Islamic Republic of Iran, i.e. Tehran, has a supreme value in the conscience and soul of the Iranian people. Also, assassinating a guest while he was sleeping is a war crime, as described by the Iranian parliament speaker. Al-Arabiya channel gave a presentation on the missiles that Iran possesses, and stated that Iran has 6 types of missiles, but the most effective missile is the Radwan missile, and its speed reaches 8 times the speed of sound, meaning that it is a hypersonic missile, and it does not need more than a few minutes to hit its target. It added that Iran possessed this type of missile, about 2,500 missiles. Al-Arabiya channel then listed 5 types of missiles, but they are not faster than surface-to-surface missiles that reach their target in “Israel” within 13 minutes, and the Iron Dome can deal with them in a way that shoots them down. The Israeli air force, which will remain alert in the airspace with about 80 aircraft, in addition to about 70 American aircraft, will try to shoot down these missiles and prevent any missile from reaching its targets. Will it succeed?
Battles start with plans, but no one knows how the war will end.
Hezbollah prepares for war
Hezbollah raised its combat readiness to the highest level. As a result, the Israeli military leadership called for a preemptive war in which the Israeli Air Force would launch a preemptive strike on Hezbollah’s military and missile centers in particular, because the missile strikes from Lebanon towards Nahariya, Haifa and Tel Aviv would hit their targets even if the Iron Dome shot down 70 or 80% of these missiles. The arrival of 20% of the missiles would lead to a large exodus from Haifa and Nahariya, especially from Tel Aviv. These three cities are home to 2.2 million Israelis, and the high-rise buildings in Tel Aviv, which are the centers of major financial and economic companies, international companies, stock exchange companies, would be hit by the missiles. The shelters available in Tel Aviv are not sufficient to accommodate the Israeli citizens who live in Tel Aviv, Haifa and Nahariya. The bombing line from Lebanon, which is full of terrain, valleys and high mountains, makes Hezbollah’s resistance capable of bombing violently without its centers being exposed, while the city of Nahariya, the city of Haifa and the city of Tel Aviv are on the same line on the Mediterranean coast, and the missiles hit their targets easily because the coastal bombing where there are no mountains or rocky terrain and so on leads to a painful and hurtful hit. As for the Lebanese resistance, it has a strategic depth where there is a direct shore of the Mediterranean Sea from 500 to 600 meters the mountains begin to form, and from there to 3 thousand meters. Hezbollah has a strategic depth that extends from the Lebanese border with the Zionist entity to the farthest depths of the northeastern Bekaa, that is to the Hermel and Baalbek regions and in Akkar and the Qamouaa region. Some talk about the presence of missiles in the Cedar Mountains, and Hezbollah’s resistance also has a strategic depth that extends to Syria, Iraq and Iran, and it is not besieged like the Israeli people in Palestine where the geography is very clear and all rocks.
When will the war start?
According to the Israeli newspaper Maariv, it stated that at dawn on Monday, the war will begin between Iran and “Israel”, but it could not determine whether Iran will start the war in coordination with Hezbollah or whether Hezbollah will lead the war with its own strategy that it knows in the south and in Lebanon, so that Iranian missiles and Hezbollah missiles do not rain down at the same time. The battle between southern Lebanon and northern occupied Palestine is the strongest ever, as Hezbollah has 100,000 fighters and can recruit an additional 50,000 fighters, who are reserves. Hezbollah also announced that it has more than 100,000 surface-to-surface missiles, which are smart missiles and precision-guided missiles, but no one has been able to know the number of missiles that Hezbollah has, but at least 100,000 missiles. If Hezbollah uses its precision-guided missiles, which constitute more than 60% of ballistic missiles, and manufactures them to be precise in its laboratories in Lebanon, it will hit Israeli military bases, Israeli infrastructure, military sites, and cities with Israeli civilians and citizens. This is because His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said, when talking about the martyrdom of the great military commander Fouad Shukr, that 70 civilians were injured in this attack, and this attack was not focused on the apartment of the great military commander Fouad Shukr. This is an indication that Hezbollah’s resistance did not stop at bombing military bases, but will also bombard settlements and towns with precision-guided missiles with settlements with civilians, in response to the bombing of the southern suburbs, which killed Fouad Shukr and injured 72 civilians, in addition to killing 8 civilians.
According to military information, Israel is no longer capable of launching a ground attack as it did in 2006, and reached the town of Khiyam and besieged it, and Hezbollah deterred it at this point. But today, information and estimates say that any Israeli attack on Lebanese territory will be met with an attack by the Radwan forces and Hezbollah’s elite forces on the Galilee, and the occupation of settlements. Here, Israeli aircraft will not have a major role, as they will be disrupted between Hezbollah fighters’ attacks in the heart of settlements inhabited by Israeli settlers. This does not frighten Hezbollah, but His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said, “Do not rule out that our forces will enter the Galilee.” Hezbollah has this ability, but to a limited extent, and can control a distance of 4 kilometers by 7 kilometers, and this will be the first time an Arab army or force has entered the occupied Palestinian land since the 1973 war, and thus the Israeli deterrent force continues with the deterrent forces to resist Hezbollah.
What will the US
Air Force and Navy do?
With the arrival of the General Command of the American armies to “Israel”, and from there to Doha, the American army will directly participate in the fighting against Iran and against Hezbollah, and of course the Israeli enemy army will complete its massacres against the Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip. Many surprises may occur. Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said previously that we have prepared for the American aircraft carriers and warships that will attack us, and which were deployed on the day Iran attacked “Israel” with planes and drones in a combat position to attack anyone who attacks occupied Palestine. One of these surprises may be the launching of 100 missiles at once on an American aircraft carrier, and Hezbollah has land-to-sea missiles, and a large number of them are capable of carrying out this mission. It is true that it is difficult to determine the geographical location of the aircraft carrier in the sea because it is not possible to rely on maps, but there are devices that determine the distance of the aircraft carrier from the shore and the distance, and then Hezbollah can direct 50 missiles at the same time at one time against an aircraft carrier, and if it hits it, the United States will be faced with dangerous and major options or options to retreat, and the United States cannot accept to be broken in front of Hezbollah and in front of the Iran-Hezbollah axis. Therefore, it will activate its warplanes that it has, which reach 300 aircraft from air bases in the Arab world and on the deck of the aircraft carrier, to carry out very violent bombing operations to destroy the missile launch sites, and these sites are unknown, and therefore we say, “God protect us from the coming war.”
Der Friedensstifter 