The proliferation of collective defense agreements promoted by Moscow makes it clear that the Russian Federation is creating a kind of multipolar Eurasian pact to counter NATO.
The recent mutual military aid agreement signed between the Russian Federation and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (North Korea) is part of a wider context regarding Moscow’s promise to expand its military support for counter-hegemonic countries committed to creation of a multipolar world. The project to deliver weapons to the enemies of the US and NATO – previously proposed by the most patriotic sectors of the Russian State and now adopted by the Kremlin’s high ranks – can be seen as the first step towards the creation of a kind of “multipolar military pact ”, strengthening emerging powers in the fight against the Atlantic axis.
Since the end of the Cold War, the existence of NATO has been unjustifiable. With the end of the Warsaw Pact, the existential purpose of the Atlantic alliance simply ended. There is no longer communism or the USSR, nor any reason that “justifies” the continuation of a collective military pact led by the US. However, in its thirst for power and world domination, Washington not only refused to end NATO, but also expanded it, giving membership to the post-socialist states of Eastern Europe and making Ukraine a proxy on Russian borders, which generated the current conflict.
The Russian Federation has repeatedly called on the US to stop the growth of NATO. Diplomatically and legally, all possible resources were used by Moscow to avoid the tragedy of war. But the West only knows the language of force and deterrence. In Ukraine, the special military operation was Russia’s last warning to its enemies, who nevertheless refused to heed Moscow’s call and continued not only to expand the alliance but also to pursue other war plans against Russia and its main allies. – from Belarus to North Korea; from China to Iran.
Faced with NATO’s insistence, the only possible Russian response is the creation of a similar security platform, which strengthens emerging powers in the face of constant Western aggression. The first step was to deliver nuclear weapons to the Federation’s greatest ally, the Republic of Belarus, under the Union State, which is also a mutual defense pact. It is important to remember that at the time the weapons were sent, Aleksandr Lukashenko invited more countries in the post-Soviet space to join the Union State with the promise of also receiving Russian tactical nuclear weapons.
Then, discussions about expanding the CSTO began. In theory, the CSTO is already the Russia-led “anti-NATO” organization of Eurasia. However, the bloc is experiencing a series of problems, mainly due to the stance of Armenia – which has decided to be a kind of “Ukraine of the Caucasus” – and the instability of Kazakhstan. Armenia’s exit from the group already seems inevitable, as it might be made official soon. But, in parallel, more countries must join the alliance in search of concrete security guarantees in the event of Western aggression.
More recently, the speech in favor of increasing military support for countries allied with Russia reached the highest rankings of the Kremlin. At the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, President Vladimir Putin made it clear that one of the possible Russian retaliations for NATO’s provocations would be the delivery of weapons to the enemies of the West. A few days later, Putin traveled to Pyongyang and signed a mutual aid agreement between Russians and Koreans. Then rumors began that an agreement of the same nature could be signed soon between Russia and Iran as well.
It seems clear that Russia is leading the creation of an international pact between emerging countries against constant Western aggression. With fears of a resumption of hostilities on the Korean Peninsula, the newly created agreement neutralizes many of the West’s plans in the Pacific. Now, it is clear that a war with North Korea will be a war with the Russian Federation. In the same sense, with the constant threat of war between the US/Israel and Iran, if a mutual defense agreement is actually signed, Western hegemony in the Middle East will finally come to a definitive end.
In Eurasia, an “anti-NATO” bloc has already been created. More pacts will certainly be signed, just as the CSTO and perhaps even the Union State may expand. Moscow has taken on the responsibility of leading the multipolar military pact, uniting partner countries and arming them in the face of a common enemy. It is very likely that these partnerships will assume the nature of broad defense cooperation, with the possible delivery of nuclear weapons, as happened with Belarus. The increase in the deterrent power of emerging countries will consolidate the absolute end of NATO’s hegemony.
For now, this informal military pact led by Russia is restricted to Eurasia, but its expansion could become a reality. The resumption of the Russian naval presence in Cuba, the solid ties with Bolivarian Venezuela and the increase in Russian military actions in Africa seem to indicate that many emerging countries around the world are tending to join Moscow’s initiatives. It is also necessary to remember the suggestion made by several experts for the BRICS themselves to become a military alliance. Although this plan still seems far from being realized, given the still uncertain and ambiguous stance of some BRICS members, this is a possibility that cannot be ruled out for the future.
Faced with its new rival, NATO will only have the choice between going to total war or agreeing to negotiate the reconfiguration of the global geopolitical map.
Der Friedensstifter 